Toy Category Skyrocketed 434.7%, Single Volume Recovery nearly 80% ! Is the Market really Warming Up?
Sellers said the overall single volume has been rising, the U.S. station single volume has recovered 80%.
France gradually decapitated on may 11, australia gradually relaxed social isolation policy on may 8, serbia lifted state of emergency on may 6. Information about overseas unsealing and the resumption of production may mean that a wave of new consumer demand is about to be released, some cross-border sellers are aware, and the cross-border ecommerce market is already showing signs of warming.
From a sharp decline to an overall recovery
Recommendations for appropriate stock preparation
An amazon seller told Friend-Ship that while there was no single explosion in may, the overall single volume has been rising, and its u.s. station has recovered 80%. “I’ll see who’s in stock right now ,” he suggested, and it’s time to prepare the goods properly in advance through FBA、 overseas warehouses. According to the current situation, if the order situation continues to improve, he will consider restarting the new employee recruitment plan.
According to a Wish seller feedback, the store’s total volume has doubled recently. In early April, the volume of orders fell sharply as logistics rose and forced a wave of prices. Orders began to pick up in late april .” Years ago, six or seven hundred single a day, now the single quantity is not stable, May Day when more than 400 single a day. “
On the question of stock, he said he wouldn’t prepare too much, just like usual. Although some countries have unsealed, will release a wave of consumer demand, but logistics has not returned to normal, the recovery of overseas consumers’ purchasing power will take some time, so do not worry too much to prepare goods, but sellers must keep an eye on the recovery of overseas markets.
Progressive recovery of shipments
Toy Category Up 434.7%
Brazil’s customs offices from 23 March to 22 April have stalled many customs services amid a growing overseas epidemic. Shanghai yichuan supply chain management co., ltd. sales director Bluce told Friend-Ship ,” since february, brazil’s ports have been seriously affected, the port of rio grande cargo volume fell by 50%, followed by santos (28%) and Tubalang (23%); from march, cargo volume gradually recovered, but still less than before; after april, such as april 23, if the partial return of customs personnel, customs clearance is normal. Production gradually returned to normal, shipments also increased year-on-year, the number of new stock sellers increased more .”
Friend-Ship learned that, as a result of the epidemic, offline shops and public places in Brazil were suspended, and the vast majority of the population converted offline transactions into online consumption. Thus, in March and April, online orders in Brazil increased by 30 to 40 per cent compared with the same period last year. But the surge in sales of products mainly for epidemic prevention products, household goods, indoor sports, food and so on.
According to the “e-commerce of products during the Covid-19 pandemic” study, after analyzing 25 million orders from more than 4000 online stores from March 1 to April 25,2020, the study only considered online sales of physical products, excluding services such as travel and tourism or mobile applications, and showed that:
Toy and game categories increased by 434.70%, supermarkets (270.16%), sporting goods (211.95%), household appliances (96.66%) and cosmetics (88.02%).
“If there is no epidemic, Brazil’s sales are definitely up in the current period, with shipments doubling or doubling, whether pre-stocked or late shipments .” But as orders for cross-border e-commerce platforms fell by more than 50 per cent in March compared with the same period last year, except for rigid demand products such as epidemic prevention supplies, our business in Brazil has also been affected by the overall single-volume decline, but since April, orders have recovered to about 80 per cent last year, and in May, I believe it will be better. said Sheng Qijun.
The overseas epidemic is still severe
Warming time or lengthening
For the signs of market warming, there are also sellers with different views that the warming time may be lengthened, its biggest doubt is logistics. “Logistics prices can not go down, how to warm up? No more than last year. In addition, the epidemic situation and the resumption of work abroad also need a period of time ,” only if the real resumption of work has income, there will be more consumption. It’s good to get back to work when the epidemic is under control, but now the foreign epidemic is not under control and may even rebound .”
According to the Friend-Ship, new cases in the United States are still hovering high, as of 09:00 on May 08, the United States has a cumulative diagnosis of 1292144 cases of new coronavirus pneumonia, a cumulative cure 216856 cases, a cumulative death of 76908 cases. Affected by the epidemic, there are still many uncertain factors in the United States market, logistics channels are not smooth.
Amazon recently announced that because of extensive shipping cancellations and restrictions, the u.s. postal service has temporarily sent international mail services to certain destinations. Other revelations that a well-known U. S. logistics provider basically do not receive goods, in a state of paralysis.
More than two-thirds of people in new york, new jersey and connecticut, where the epidemic is most serious, believe local governments should give priority to epidemic prevention, according to a survey published by the us media. Seventy-one percent said government officials should focus on implementing home orders to combat the epidemic. Only about 26 per cent said the state should shift its focus to rehabilitation. As a result, the resumption of production in the United States is not as easy as thought, and real market warming may take longer. For sellers, market warming is a good sign, but how to be well prepared during the warming period is the next question every seller must think about.
